Thursday, November 26, 2015

Canon Update on D&O – Decent surprise but wrong timing

25/11/2015

D&O had suffered a bad sell down today however the volume was low, so what’s the reason behind? Well, we believe there are 3 possibilities.
1.       Bad sentiment overall the market.
2.       Quarter report players are afraid of bad quarter report
3.       The insider wanted to collect some cheap tickets
It’s hard to tell by now whether what is the root cause and only time could tell. However, let’s analyse the Quarter report as it is a decent surprise to us. The company didn’t slipped into red as we afraid yet they showed better result compare to the same quarter in 2014.

Note B1:
3 rd Q 2015 versus 3rd Q 2014
Turnover grew 15% year-on-year to RM122.2 million, propelled by a 34% growth in the Automotive Segment to RM67.7 million. Revenue of the Non-automotive Segment, comprising primarily the General Lighting Segment, was 2% lower at RM54.5 million.
Gross profit margin in the current quarter improved significantly to 20% compared to 13% a year ago on favourable sales mix change and a strengthening US Dollar against the Malaysia Ringgit. Consequently, the Group recorded significantly better profit before tax of RM6.2 million compared to RM0.7 million a year ago.

9 months 2015 versus 9 months 2014
Despite a 27% growth in the Automotive Segment, turnover for the first nine months dipped marginally by 1% to RM326.1 million as a result of a 26% decline in Non-Automotive Segment to RM132.1 million. Revenue of the Non-Automotive Segment was adversely affected by management’s decision to phase out mid-power LED packages.
The Group posted an improved gross profit margin of 19% (9M2014: 14%) mainly as a result of a favourable change in sales mix and a stronger US Dollar versus the Malaysia Ringgit. The Group achieved a profit before tax of RM15.0 million compared to RM4.6 million a year ago on higher margin.

Note B2
When compared to the preceding quarter, revenue in the current quarter increased by 8% to RM122.2 million. The Automotive Segment registered a 7% increase to RM67.7 million, while the Non-Automotive Segment expanded by 10% to RM54.5 million on higher COB sales. Gross profit margin improved from 17% in the preceding quarter to 20% in the current quarter under review mainly due to an increase in sales volume, better sales mix and a weakening Malaysia Ringgit against the US Dollar. However, profit before tax at RM6.2 million was only marginally better quarter-on-quarter (2Q2015: RM6.1 million) as a result of unrealized forex loss from US Dollar denominated payables and higher customer claims in the current quarter.

Note B3
Commentary on Prospects
The overall subdued global economic performance is not expected to improve anytime soon. Nonetheless, LED sales to the automotive industry is projected to continue with its growth momentum, underpinned mainly by rising LED adoption in the exterior and interior display applications.
Through product innovation, competitive pricing and recent strategic collaboration with Taiwan’s leading LED wafer manufacturer Epistar, management is optimistic that Dominant would be able to further strengthen its market share position in the burgeoning automotive sector.
Competition in the Non-Automotive Segment, namely the General Lighting Segment, on the other hand will likely remain stiff on both cost and pricing pressure. To reduce overhead costs and improve production efficiencies, management has decided to consolidate and streamline its manufacturing capacities.
The recent 10% equity injection by Epistar into Dominant in November 2015 has significantly strengthened the Group’s balance sheet, providing the Group adequate resources to further expand its LED business. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, management is optimistic the performance of the Group for the year will be satisfactory.

Something to highlight
1.       Note A15, where it mentioned Dominant had received full cash in 9 November 2015, which mean they will put the one off profit in next quarter.

2.       If u look at the Current asset, we saw that the cash of the company had jumped from RM29m to RM57m. However, the company is still not a net cash company yet and we believe this cash is not from the selling of Dominant as we still don’t see any cash from the cash flow from investment as well as gain on disposal of interest in an associate.

3.       Looking at Note B12, which is the material Litigation, it had clearly stated that the company had placed the sum of compensation RM13.45m as trade payable. This is because they have appeal for the case and the hearing is on 18 Feb 2016 which the court case will be crucial to decide whether they have to pay that RM13.45m. If they win the case then they will not need to pay this RM13.45m and they are able to get back another RM12m which has been classified as contingent liability.

Summary
1.       The Revenue had grew 15% compare to last year and grow 8% compare to last quarter. PAT of the company is 416% higher compared to last year but 9% lower compared to last quarter. The lower profit were due to unrealized forex loss from US Dollar denominated payables and higher customer claims in the current quarter. In short, the business is still growing.

2.       The company has yet to factor in the pending result of the material litigation which will be deciding on 18 February 2016. On the other hand, they have another case that pending announcement on 16th December 2015

3.       Company will be having a one off gain by next quarter.

4.       The cash position of the company had increased significantly

5.       The company is still healthy where it is still worth looking at after the poor sentiment.

May all the HUAT be with us!
Regards
Big Canon Finance

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Disclaimer: The content on this site is provided as general information and for education purpose only which should not be taken as investment advice.

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